Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (Week 25, 2025)

01 Sunflower 

Week 25 (June 16-June 20, 2025) This week, the domestic oil sunflower price is stable, and the specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, the domestic oil sunflower price has not changed much. The supply and demand of the domestic oil sunflower market is relatively balanced. The international oil sunflower is at the end of the season, the supply of raw materials is relatively tight, and the domestic oil sunflower arrival volume is small. The overall tight supply supports the oil sunflower price. In terms of demand, the market is currently in the off-season for the industry. The weather is getting hotter, the oil mill operation rate is not high, the consumption of oil sunflower is reduced, and the market procurement is mostly maintained for rigid demand, and the speed of goods is slow. Domestic terminal demand has not seen a significant improvement, so the price of oil sunflower has not changed much.

It is expected that the domestic oil sunflower price may continue to remain stable, the supply of oil sunflower is tight, and traders are holding prices, but domestic demand is mostly maintained for rigid demand, which is relatively weak, and the import cost is weakening. The price of oil sunflower may still fall. In the later period, more attention should be paid to the planting situation in major producing areas such as Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 25 (June 16-June 20, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,608 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 10,650 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 10,400 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin is 10,800 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Shanghai has stopped quoting. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

The price of domestic sunflower oil rose this week. The war in the Middle East has boosted the sunflower oil market, and the supply capacity in the market has weakened due to the bidding of China National Grain Reserves Corporation, which has slightly supported the price of sunflower oil. However, the demand for sunflower oil is weak, and the goods are not moving fast, which has dragged down the price of sunflower oil. Therefore, the increase in sunflower oil is not large. In terms of import costs, the price of Russian FOB Black Sea port in July is US$1,105/ton. The price increase and the increase in import costs have provided strong support to the domestic sunflower oil market.

It is expected that the price of sunflower oil may continue to rise in the short term. The supply of sunflower oil at home and abroad is tight, and the supply of sunflower oil in the market is limited. Coupled with the conflict in the Middle East, the price of crude oil has risen, supporting the sunflower oil market. In the later period, we will focus on the oil and fat market and the rise and fall of its foreign prices.