Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (Week 19, 2025)

01 Sunflower

Week 19 (May 5-May 9, 2025) This week, the domestic sunflower price remained stable. The specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower prices rose. Due to the good trading of sunflower kernels and the fast sales, traders raised prices and the profit from pressing fell slightly. In terms of overall supply, due to my country's reliance on imports of sunflowers, the international supply of sunflower raw materials is severe, and the port arrival volume is still at a low level, supporting the sunflower market. In terms of demand, the market is currently in the off-season for the industry, and market purchases are mostly maintained for rigid demand, and the sales speed is slow. Traders are bearish, and coupled with the impact of sunflower kernels, the transaction volume of sunflowers has been frustrated again.

It is expected that the domestic sunflower price will stabilize before the new season of sunflowers is listed. At present, the supply and demand of sunflowers have not changed much, the supply of sunflower raw materials is tight, and the industry is affected by the off-season, and the demand for sunflowers is weak. Therefore, the price of sunflowers may run smoothly.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 19 (May 5-May 9, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,850 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 10,950 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 10,500 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin is 10,950 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Shanghai is 10,900 yuan/ton. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower oil prices fell slightly. On the supply side, due to poor import profits, the amount of sunflower oil arriving at the port is small, the supply of sunflower oil is tight, and dealers are reluctant to sell, which supports the price of sunflower oil. On the demand side, due to the increase in the price of sunflower kernels and the decline in pressing profits, the number of inquiries on the market for sunflower oil prices has increased, the speed of goods has slightly accelerated, and the demand is general. On May 9, the Russian FOB sunflower oil price was US$1,095/ton, down US$15/ton from last week. The Russian ruble exchange rate is stable, and the import cost has fallen, dragging down the market price of sunflower oil.

It is expected that the price of sunflower oil may fluctuate steadily in the short term. The supply of sunflower oil at home and abroad is tight, and the weak import cost and weak demand suppress the price of sunflower oil. Therefore, the price of sunflower oil is mainly stable, and the focus is on the market and the impact of other oils and fats on the sunflower oil market.