Flaxseed, flax oil and flax cake market forecast (Week 19, 2025)

01 Flaxseed

In the 19th week (May 5-May 9, 2025), the national average price of domestic flax seeds is 5,517 yuan/ton; the price of Russian first-grade screened flax seeds at Tianjin Port is 5,700 yuan/ton; the price of Russian first-grade raw flax seeds at Tianjin Port is 5,500 yuan/ton. The flax seed market conditions in various regions this week are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, the price of flaxseed has been stable with a slight increase. The price of flaxseed has risen due to shortages in some areas. Foreign flaxseed is at the end of the season, and there are fewer high-quality flaxseeds, and those that are available are of poor quality. In terms of supply, the port arrival volume is still relatively large, the supply of flaxseed is sufficient, and the domestic port warehouse continues to be high, which is bearish for the flaxseed market. In terms of demand, due to the downstream replenishment on demand, the terminal market is moving slowly, so the demand for flaxseed is weak. The international flaxseed price has fallen. The CNF price of flaxseed in the southern Black Sea region of Russia is US$605/ton, and the shipping date is May-June. The price of Canadian flaxseed is US$670/ton, and there is no price for Kazakh flaxseed. In the short term, the international flaxseed market is short of goods, which is good for the international flaxseed market, and the possibility of a fall in flaxseed prices is not high. In the long term, the price of flaxseed in Chinese ports is still bullish.

02 Flax oil

Week 19 (May 5-May 9, 2025) This week, the domestic first-grade linseed oil prices are as follows: Lanzhou 11,400 yuan/ton; Wuzhong 11,500 yuan/ton, Yinchuan 12,000 yuan/ton, Hohhot 11,600 yuan/ton; Zhangjiakou 11,000 yuan/ton; Xingtai 11,000 yuan/ton; Tianjin Binhai 11,600 yuan/ton, Suzhou 11,500 yuan/ton, Nantong 11,500-11,600 yuan/ton.

Bulk linseed oil prices are as follows: Ulanqab 10,200-10,300 yuan/ton; Hohhot 11,000 yuan/ton; Zhangjiakou 10,300 yuan/ton; Xingtai 11,000 yuan/ton; Tianjin Binhai 9,700-11,000 yuan/ton;

Weekly Review:

The price of linseed oil remained basically stable this week. Flaxseed oil is priced but not sold, and the transaction is not brisk. In terms of demand, it is still in the off-season for flaxseed oil consumption, and the demand for flaxseed oil is not brisk, which is bearish for the flaxseed oil market. The operating rate of Chinese flaxseed oil factories is not high, and the supply of flaxseed oil is not large, which is good for the flaxseed oil market. The domestic soybean oil and rapeseed oil prices are generally stable and fluctuating, and it is expected that the price of flaxseed oil may continue to remain stable in the short term.

03 Flax cake

Week 19 (May 5-May 9, 2025) This week's flaxseed cake prices are as follows: Zhangjiakou 2800-3400 yuan/ton; Datong 2900-3000 yuan/ton; Shenchi 3000 yuan/ton; Zhongwei 2800-3000 yuan/ton; Shizuishan 3200 yuan/ton; Baotou 2800 yuan/ton; Tianjin 2800-3000 yuan/ton; Nantong 2880 yuan/ton; Xingtai 2900 yuan/ton.

Weekly Review:

The overall price of flax cake fell this week. It is mainly due to the decline in soybean meal prices, which dragged down the flax cake market. Flax cake is in the off-season, demand is weak, and the pressing plant reflects slow shipments. The operating rate of flaxseed oil plants is not high, and the supply is slightly reduced, which supports the flaxseed cake market. It is expected that the price of flax cake will be stable and fluctuating in the short term.