Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (Week 23, 2025)

01 Sunflower

Week 23 (June 2-June 6, 2025) The domestic sunflower price is stable this week. The specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower prices are running smoothly. The inventory of sunflower seeds in 2024/25 is already at a low level, and traders are in a strong price-supporting mentality. In terms of supply, the international supply of sunflower raw materials is still severe, and the arrival volume of sunflowers in my country continues to be low. The tight supply situation provides strong support for prices. In terms of demand, the market is currently in the off-season for the industry, and market purchases are mostly based on rigid demand, and the speed of goods is slow.

It is expected that domestic sunflower prices may remain stable before the new season of sunflowers are put on the market. As the weather gets hotter, the operating rate of oil mills may decline, and the domestic demand for sunflowers will continue to be weak. In addition, there are fewer influencing factors in the market and international raw material prices fluctuate frequently. There is still great uncertainty in the future price trend.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 23 (June 2-June 6, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,717 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 10,800 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 10,300 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin is 10,900 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Shanghai is 10,800 yuan/ton. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower oil prices were stable with a slight decline. The main reason for the price decline in Shandong and Xinjiang is that it is the off-season for sunflower oil, demand is weak, and the price of sunflower oil is high, the cost-effectiveness is not high, and the sales speed is not fast. On the other hand, the cost of pressing edible sunflower kernels in Inner Mongolia is not high, and traders reduce prices to sell in order to ship. In terms of import costs, the price of Russian FOB Black Sea Port is US$1,090/ton, which is US$20/ton lower than the increase. The import cost of sunflower oil is slightly slower, dragging down the domestic market price. In terms of supply, international spot inventory is low and supply is relatively tight, supporting the market price of sunflower oil.

It is expected that in the short term, the price of sunflower oil may remain stable and fluctuate. The supply of sunflower oil at home and abroad is tight, and the import cost is rising, supporting the market, but the weak demand suppresses the price of sunflower oil. Therefore, the price of sunflower oil is mainly stable, focusing on the market and the impact of other oils and fats on the sunflower oil market.