Flaxseed, flax oil and flax cake market forecast (Week 20, 2025)

01 Flaxseed

In the 20th week (May 12-May 16, 2025), the national average price of domestic flax seeds was 5,494 yuan/ton; the price of Russian first-grade screened flax seeds at Tianjin Port was 5,650 yuan/ton; the price of Russian first-grade raw flax seeds at Tianjin Port was 5,450 yuan/ton. The flax seed market conditions in various regions this week are as follows:

Weekly Review:

Flaxseed prices fell this week. The price of flaxseed at Tianjin Port was slightly lowered, mainly because the operating rate of flaxseed oil factories was very low, resulting in low demand for flaxseed at the port. On the supply side, the port arrival volume is still relatively large, the supply of flaxseed is sufficient, and the domestic port warehouse continues to be high, which is bearish for the flaxseed market. On the demand side, downstream companies replenish stocks on demand, the terminal market is slow to move goods, and the demand for flaxseed is weak. At present, foreign flaxseed is at the end of the season. The international flaxseed price fell. The CNF price in the southern Black Sea region of Russia was 610-620 US dollars/ton for flaxseed, with a shipping date of June-July. The price in the Xinxi region was 4300-4400 yuan, and the price of poor quality flaxseed in Kazakhstan was 670 US dollars/ton in Alashankou. In the short term, the international flaxseed market is insufficient, which is good for the international flaxseed market, and the possibility of a fall in flaxseed prices is not high. In the long run, the price of flaxseed at Chinese ports is still bullish.

02 Flax oil

Week 20 (May 12-May 16, 2025) This week, the domestic first-grade linseed oil prices are as follows: Lanzhou 11,600-11,700 yuan/ton; Wuzhong 11,700-11,850 yuan/ton, Yinchuan 11,700-11,850 yuan/ton, Hohhot 11,700 yuan/ton; Zhangjiakou 11,500 yuan/ton; Xingtai 11,000 yuan/ton; Tianjin Binhai 11,600-11,700 yuan/ton, Suzhou 11,600-11,800 yuan/ton, Nantong 11,600-11,800 yuan/ton.

The prices of bulk linseed oil are as follows: 10,200-10,300 yuan/ton in Ulanqab; 10,700 yuan/ton in Hohhot; 11,000 yuan/ton in Zhangjiakou; 11,000 yuan/ton in Xingtai; 10,600-11,000 yuan/ton in Tianjin Binhai;

Weekly Review:

The price of linseed oil rose this week. This is mainly because the operating rate of linseed oil factories is not high, and the supply of linseed oil is tight, which is good for the linseed oil market. In terms of demand, it is still in the off-season for linseed oil consumption, and the demand for linseed oil is not strong, which is bad for the linseed oil market. It is expected that the price of linseed oil will be stable and fluctuating in the short term.

03 Flax cake

Week 20 (May 12-May 16, 2025) This week's flaxseed cake prices are as follows: Zhangjiakou 2800-3400 yuan/ton; Datong 2900-3000 yuan/ton; Shenchi 2800-3200 yuan/ton; Zhongwei 2800-3000 yuan/ton; Shizuishan 3100 yuan/ton; Baotou 2800 yuan/ton; Tianjin 3150 yuan/ton; Nantong 2950-3000 yuan/ton; Xingtai 2900 yuan/ton.

Weekly Review:

The overall price of flax cake is stable this week. Flax cake is high in calories and is in the off-season, with weak demand, and the pressing plant reflects slow shipments. The operating rate of flaxseed oil plants is not high, and the supply is tight, which supports the flaxseed cake market. The overall prices of domestic soybean meal and rapeseed meal have a downward trend, which is good for the domestic flaxseed cake market. It is expected that the price of flax cake will continue to be stable in the short term, and the possibility of fluctuation is relatively high.