Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (Week 21, 2025)

01 Sunflower

Week 21 (May 19-May 23, 2025) This week, the domestic sunflower price remained stable. The specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower prices are relatively stable. Recently, the price of sunflower kernels is relatively stable, and the market purchasing enthusiasm is average. In terms of supply, since my country's sunflowers rely on imports, the current international sunflower raw material supply situation is still severe, and the arrival volume of sunflowers continues to be low, supporting the sunflower market. In terms of demand, the market is currently in the off-season, and market purchases are mostly based on rigid demand, the speed of goods is slow, and traders are bearish.

It is expected that before the new season of sunflowers is listed, the domestic sunflower price may continue to be stable, the domestic supply and demand are relatively balanced, and there are fewer influencing factors in the market. However, due to the frequent fluctuations in international raw material prices, there is no obvious sign of domestic demand recovery, and there is still great uncertainty in the future price trend.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 21 (May 19-May 23, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,825 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 10,850 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 10,500 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin is 10,950 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Shanghai is 10,850 yuan/ton. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower oil prices are stable. Recently, the amount of sunflower kernels and sunflower oil has begun to increase. Although the acid price is high, the price is relatively cheap. The short-term increase in sunflower oil supply has dragged down the market price of sunflower oil. In terms of demand, sunflower oil is in the off-season, demand is weak, and the speed of goods is not fast, which is bearish for the sunflower oil market. As of May 23, the FOB June quotation at the Russian Black Sea port was US$1,110/ton, up US$5/ton from last week, while the export tariff of Russian sunflower oil in June rose to 7,119.8 rubles/ton, compared with 4,500 rubles/ton in May. The increase in tariffs and export costs supports the domestic market price.

It is expected that the price of sunflower oil may fluctuate steadily in the short term. The supply of sunflower oil at home and abroad is tight, and the weak import cost and weak demand suppress the price of sunflower oil. Therefore, the price of sunflower oil is mainly stable, focusing on the market and the impact of other oils and fats on the sunflower oil market.