Sunflower and sunflower oil trading review and analysis and forecast (Week 22, 2025)

01 Sunflower

Week 22 (May 26-May 30, 2025) The domestic sunflower price rose slightly this week. The specific prices in each region are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower prices rose slightly, inventories were at a low level, and traders were in a strong price-supporting mentality. In terms of supply, the international supply of sunflower raw materials remains severe, and my country's oil sunflower arrivals continue to be at a low level. The tight supply situation provides strong support for prices. In terms of demand, the market is currently in the off-season for the industry, and market purchases are mostly maintained for rigid demand, and the speed of goods is slow.

It is expected that domestic sunflower prices may remain stable before the new season of sunflowers are listed, domestic demand has not seen significant changes, and there are fewer influencing factors in the market. Due to the frequent fluctuations in international raw material prices, there is still great uncertainty in future price trends.

02 Sunflower oil

Week 22 (May 26-May 30, 2025) The average price of domestic sunflower oil this week is 10,775 yuan/ton, of which the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Jiangsu is 10,800 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Xinjiang is 10,500 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Tianjin is 10,900 yuan/ton; the price of first-grade sunflower oil in Shanghai is 10,800 yuan/ton. The prices in various regions are as follows:

Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower oil prices fell. This is mainly due to the off-season of sunflower oil, weak demand, and the high price of sunflower oil, low cost-effectiveness, and slow sales, which dragged down the sunflower oil market. In terms of import costs, due to the increase in Russian tariffs and the continuous increase in prices at the Black Sea ports, the import cost of sunflower oil remains high, supporting the domestic market price. In terms of supply, spot inventory continues to be low, and supply and inventory are tight, which is good for the market price of sunflower oil.

It is expected that in the short term, the price of sunflower oil may remain stable. The supply of sunflower oil at home and abroad is tight, and the import cost is rising, which supports the market, but the weak demand suppresses the price of sunflower oil. Therefore, the price of sunflower oil is mainly stable, and the focus is on the market and the impact of other oils and fats on the sunflower oil market.